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Sag won't strike because aftra won't allow it.
Let tv & Film production flurish.......!
SAG has about 40,000 more members than AFTRA does. And they are nowhere near being the same union. They do have about 40,000 cross-over or shared members, though.
And AFTRA doesn't have much to say on the inner working of SAG. Their early agreement forces SAG's hand a little bit - especially since going on strike means running the risk of losing SAG members to AFTRA or losing those shared members. If all shared members defected and a decent amount left for AFTRA - SAG would see its numbers reduced to be equal with or even smaller than AFTRA.
They are not interested in doing that. I highly doubt SAG will strike because Rosenberg is a pretty solid politico, but, yeah, you're pretty much incorrect about everything you said, 790.
First-love your site-been reading you for a long time-good laughs, and nearly always right-on.
As for the SAG strike stuff-off base bro. If we strike-the industry will be crippled. And to my knowledge, Desperate Housewives is a SAG show. There is only 1 prime time show that is aftra, and if I remember right, it isn't DH. SAG covers pretty much everything dude-movies, television, 99% of all commercials. If SAG strikes, and as a member I believe we should, if the AMPTP doesn't give us a workable deal, there would be long and short term ramifications. First, all of television would grind to a hault, with the exception of a few soaps, and 1, maybe 2 primetime shows. All others are covered under SAG contracts.
Furthermore, a number of very large companies, with storied histories were literally wiped out when the writers went on strike. Now-that is bad for the consumer-and bad for all of us who work in the biz. That means consolidation. That means low revenue, which equals less quality projects to go around, which means that of our 3% of 125K members, not even they would all be working.
This means less quality, and less choice for the consumer-and I will guarantee you will see less of a choice in the theaters immediately-because the budgets would be destroyed at the studios, having to stop production on all of their television shows, and all films in production.
So, it is a bit more far reaching that most of the general public realize. It would be horrible for all concerned. Last SAG strike was a debacle-and this time around will be worse if it happens. We are all hoping that Rosenberg decides to be a negotiator rather than placing ridiculous demands on the AMPTP, and that the AMPTP realizes that the deal they gave AFTRA was bullshit placation to get them to break from a collective position with SAG. If they all have clear heads, you and I may be watching some great films this fall and winter-and beyond. If they don't, get ready to go throw some toast at a Rocky Horror Picture Show sing-along!
best,
MSH