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You are incorrect, sir. QoS will beat the crap out of Madagascar's opening week, it will beat HAPPY FEET's opening, and it will outperform CASINO ROYALE. Why?
I'm going with the "my Dad" theory. My father's been done with the Bond franchise since THE SPY WHO LOVED ME. I loaned a DVD of GOLDENEYE to him saying, "Dad--Bond is back." He never made it through the movie.
When I loaned him CASINO ROYALE, I said, "No, Dad, really--BOND IS BACK!"
He grunted.
But he watched the movie on DVD, loved it, and plans to see this one at the theater some time this weekend. He's also a huge BOURNE fan, and formerly thought BOURNE made Bond irrelevant. I think there were a lot of people in that boat who changed their minds after ROYALE.
So I'm going to put Bond's opening at $75M and possibly better.
And, as usual, I'll probably be wrong.